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SPOILERS!!! DWTS Season 13, Week 3

Well, it’s safe to say that if you want your team to be called safe, ask me to say they’re going to be out. šŸ™‚ Ā LOL!! Ā Well, I did tell you that I had no clue what was going to happen. Ā I was right about that. šŸ™‚ Ā Rather happy to say that Courtney got it wrong as well. šŸ˜‰

This is a shocking elimination, frankly. I knew it would happen, but honestly thought it would be a couple weeks down the road. And sorry folks, as much as I’m not a Mark fan, it should have been either Chaz or Nancy. NO, that doesn’t mean that Cher was pulling dirty tricks like I saw from one commenter – all is fair and all that. For the uninformed, the couple who left us tonight was: Ā Kristin and Mark

For that to happen, all of the following happened:

– Ā Rob, David and Hope all had to get ONE more vote per million vote cast than her, AND;
– Ā Chaz had to get 25,320 more votes per million votes cast than Kristin, AND;
– Ā Nancy had to get 12,660 more votes per million votes cast than Kristin, AND;
– Ā Carson had to get 4,220 more votes per millon votes cast than Kristin.

REMEMBER, it’s not that loads of people were voting for Chaz, Rob, David and the rest – it’s also that no one was voting for Kristin. That’s critical to remember, and keep voting if you don’t want to lose your favorite.

Just goes to show that your votes matter and making a positive or negative reaction is MUCH better than no reaction at all.

October 4, 2011 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

DWTS Season 13, Week 3 – Dancing by the Numbers

Well, personal stories night. As I said in an earlier post ā€“ never a favorite of mine. Itā€™s still not a favorite of mine, although it was not as dreadful as I had anticipated it might be. šŸ™‚

I think it obviously comes down to, this week, Chaz and Nancy; theyā€™ve isolated (as best they could) the rest of the dancers from the threat of going home. Now, as always, there are no guarantees, but Chaz has a serious uphill climb to stick around. If he beats Nancy, can Nancy rally votes to get past Carson? Well, it is my personal opinion that neither can get past Carson ā€“ dude is just too freakinā€™ hilarious and I would wager he takes out far better dancers than Nancy and Chaz before all is said and done.

The real question in my mind is ā€“ just how few people were voting for David? Itā€™s not always a question of Chaz and Nancy (and Carson) getting tons of votes, but a question of someone else getting zilch. It may sound like Iā€™m parsing with that, but I donā€™t think I am. Say, hypothetically, JR and Ricki each get a million votes. And, in comparison, Chaz and Nancy are only getting 100k each. Obviously, thatā€™s a huge disparity right? But what if David is only getting, like, 10k? See what I mean? Chaz and Nancy arenā€™t getting a ton of votes (hypothetically), but David is doing even worse. THAT is the question in my mind right now. Is he doing really bad?

Letā€™s look at the numbers.

The Judges Scores and Percentages

Place Celebrity Score Percentage
1. Ricki 27 11.39
2. JR 26 10.97
2. Chynna 26 10.97
4. Rob 24 10.13
4. Kristin 24 10.13
4. David 24 10.13
4. Hope 24 10.13
8. Carson 23 9.7
9. Nancy 21 8.86
10. Chaz 18 7.59

In order to stay, Chaz will need a whopping 12,660 votes per million votes cast more than Nancy.

Can he do it? No clue. Chaz is the one person (well, one of 3) who I have no clear feel for how heā€™s being received on a large scale and what kind of population is voting for him. Next in line to him is Nancy ā€“ another person that Iā€™m just not sure about. Sure, we find her engaging, and her partner is cute (but seriously, if that was all it took Maks would have won by now) ā€“ but she, like Chaz, is a very polarizing figure on a national stage. So which one is more polarizing? I tend to think itā€™s Chaz, but that Nancy really isnā€™t connecting to people who ONLY watch the show and none of the surrounding media. If you go back and watch the first 3 episodes and donā€™t consider ANYTHING else ā€“ is she coming off as warm as we know she is? Iā€™m not sure about that. Also, for as much as Len appreciates Tristanā€™s choreography and as much as I appreciate his cute face, itā€™s obvious he hasnā€™t yet adjusted to choreographing for TV. Step it up, sweetheart, youā€™re getting a tad dull. And the biggest danger in a show full of characters is being dull. You can be a crap-ish dancer with a huge personality and go a long way (Ty Murray, Kelly O) or you can be a great dancer but be dull or annoying (Audrina, Sabrina) and leave way early. The other option is being a great dancer and ALSO making an impact on peopleā€™s memories ā€“ that is the safe bet. But itā€™s really bad to be a mediocre dancer AND be dull. It’s not too late – you can turn it around!

ANYWAY, what happens if Chaz gets his 12,660 more votes per million than Nancy? Where does Carson play into this little drama? What does it take for Carson to leave and Chaz and Nancy to stay? BOTH of the following have to happen:

– Ā Chaz gets 21,100 more votes per million votes cast than Carson does, AND;
– Ā Nancy gets 8,450 more votes per million votes cast than Carson does.

If those two score those votes and everyone else is getting more votes than Carson? Carson goes home. But really, how likely do you think that is? Not likely at all, in my book. Much more likely that either Chaz or Nancy goes home.

Now, what happens if people (okay, me, Courtney and most of the people reading this site) have totally underestimated Chazā€¦and Nancy? What if weā€™ve totally OVER estimated the strength of others on this show? Who? Well, David was in the real bottom 2 last week. Letā€™s say the producer manipulations didnā€™t take and heā€™s still not getting the votes. Was he well insulated enough? For David to go home, ALL of the following have to happen:

– Ā Rob, Kristin and Hope all have to get ONE more vote per million vote cast than him, AND;
– Ā Chaz has to get 25,320 more votes per million votes cast than David, AND;
– Ā Nancy has to get 12,660 more votes per million votes cast than David, AND;
– Ā Carson has to get 4,220 more votes per millon votes cast than David.

What are the odds? Thatā€™s very hard to say. Certainly I think that Rob, Kristin and Hope all can get one lousy vote. But what about Chaz, Nancy and Carson? Even though David was in the bottom 2 last week, he also was only a point a head of Chaz and tied with Carson in judgeā€™s scores. Not really hard to imagine Carson getting one more vote than him and Chaz getting 4,500 more votes. However, Chaz DID get close to 18k more than Elisabetta. Is David doing as poorly as Elisabetta was? I kinda doubt it ā€“ heā€™s much more well known. Plus, the margins are wider this week. Still, if Tom utters (or Tweets) the words ā€œshocking eliminationā€ ā€“ David will be my first thought.

A few people have been mentioning Kristinā€™s lack of impact. Is she in any danger this week? For her to go home, just replace Davidā€™s name with hers in the above list. We have no idea how Kristin is doing in the voting, but sheā€™s not getting a whole lot of attention from anyone other than Mark, whereas David got a motivation to his voting base by being in a real bottom 2, plus he got the pimp spot last night with little Coco cheering him on.

When all is said and done, I think itā€™s between Chaz and Nancy, with David as the wild card. My instinct is that itā€™s REALLY between Chaz and David, mainly because they worked so freakinā€™ hard to get David the votes to stay. The question is ā€“ where they successful? I kind of think maybe they were, which drops it back to Chaz and Nancy with, IMO, Chaz not making the cut.

But dang ā€“ I am so conflicted. I donā€™t have any degree of certainty about what will end up happening. This is rather exciting. šŸ™‚

I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

DWTS13 Week 3 Interviews After The Dance Part 2 (Videos)

Lot’s to still cover! First up, below is a recap and a review on the night with Louis Van Amstel on Good Morning America. See if you don’t agree with him? I thought he did a super job and I pretty much agree.

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Louis also reviews the couples in his new ABC Dancing With The Stars blog >>>>HERE if you are interested in checking it out. He nailed it for how I feel on Kristin and Marks’ dance…

Iā€™m watching the package and I wonder what the personal story is? Kristin looks hot, hot, hot, and is very feminine, but I wish she would actually believe it and express it more internally.

Ok, onto some new Access Hollywood interviews….

Read more..

I Written By

"Dance is the hidden language of the soul" ~ Martha Graham. That's what DWTS makes me think of every Monday night. To read more about me and my other interests, see Lisa Kay Photography. You can also follow me at Voguerista Twitter & Voguerista Soundcloud.

DWTS13 Week 3 Interviews After The Dance Part 1 (Videos)

Let’s get right to all the new interviews after the dances last night and who better to do it with than George Pennacchio of KTLA and On The Red Carpet!

First up, Maks and Hope!! Maks is so happy and proud of Hope. He doesn’t plan to buy into the “I’m not sexy” stuff that Hope is always saying. Hope says the sexiness is deep inside and it’s taking a ‘special someone’ to pull it out of her (she points to Maks!)

Next up, Carson and Anna! They are totally excited with the results of their dance. The Tango is “who he is”. They talk of collaborating on their costume designs. They are so glad to be here and that he is getting more confident and more relaxed. They show off George’s CIA notes!

Chynna and Tony talk of all the cool support they are getting. She talks of her personal story and is thankful for a standing ovation. George talks of how much Billy Baldwin is helping them.

Read more..

I Written By

"Dance is the hidden language of the soul" ~ Martha Graham. That's what DWTS makes me think of every Monday night. To read more about me and my other interests, see Lisa Kay Photography. You can also follow me at Voguerista Twitter & Voguerista Soundcloud.

DWTS Season 13 Maksim Chmerkovskiy And Hope Solo Do The Ellen Show (Video)

This isn’t the full interview, but, you can see part of Hope and Maks’ interview with Ellen yesterday below. They talk of the pressure and learning to dance when you are a “tomboy at heart”. If someone knows where we can get the full interview, please let us know. Thanks!!

Adding: Here is the full interview! Thanks to @DWTSMaksimFans at twitter for sending!!!xxx

I Written By

"Dance is the hidden language of the soul" ~ Martha Graham. That's what DWTS makes me think of every Monday night. To read more about me and my other interests, see Lisa Kay Photography. You can also follow me at Voguerista Twitter & Voguerista Soundcloud.