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Dancing With The Stars Season 24, The FINALE – Dancing by the Numbers!

Well, conventional wisdom says that Rashad should win. Best freestyle compared to a rather crap one by Normani. He’s at the top of the leader board. The judges raved over him. They were lukewarm on Normani. Rashad went last. I can’t even tell you how many times they danced in the order they finished. All the “Rashad is the winner” signals were there.

But here’s where I have a problem. We have new producers. And they might not fall into the same patterns that they used to. They could be engineering a shocking win. Read more..

May 23, 2017 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

Dancing With The Stars Season 24, Week 9 – Dancing by the Numbers!

Let’s all cheer for being at the finale of what has been an extremely annoying season of DWTS. Almost enough to make one vow to not watch anymore. And if not for the blogging, I wouldn’t be watching the show any more. But someone has to point out all the BS and I guess that’s our job.

Note that I’m traveling on both Monday and Tuesday so I’m not entirely sure that I will have the time to do a final DBTN that I usually do between Monday night and Tuesday night. Hopefully I will be able to – we’ll see.

Now, on to this past week. What happened? I don’t remember. :::yawn::: The only thing I really remember is the judges acting all shocked when Simone was eliminated. Give me a BREAK! If you were really surprised by Simone being eliminated, you don’t deserve to be a judge on this show that’s been around for 24 seasons now. I can’t believe….refuse to believe…that the judges think they can nitpick someone to death for 9 weeks and that it doesn’t have an impact. They certainly have egos, and believe that they direct the audience – so why would they believe that their constant assault on Simone’s dancing had no direct influence on the voting? The girl is an OLYMPIC gymnast and probably has had the toughest judging and criticism throughout her young life that one can imagine – yet she was brought to tears by these erratic, often mean-spirited, judges.  Read more..

May 20, 2017 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

Dancing With The Stars Season 24, Week 8 – Dancing by the Numbers!

Every week I have to ask myself, how low will the producers/judges go? Every week. It didn’t used to be like this. This show has become a POS, nearly unbearable to watch. I find that sad, honestly. Are they going to find anyone who wants to do it besides the desperate celebs, Pro dancers who need jobs and other pros who have nothing better to do? I suppose there’s always a chance Derek could come back for a season if he’s down to four projects at one time – he seems determined to never have a spare moment. I hope not. I hope he’s gone for good – he might like the teaching, but I don’t think most of his fans want to see him in that fake, manipulated situation any more. Not to mention that whoever he gets as a celeb is going to get beat up to make sure they don’t win.

Lots of talk this week about the judges’ comments. You know, this isn’t the first time that Len has been horribly cruel, beyond the pale. He’s done it before. What’s different now is that instead of a one-off Len temper tantrum, it’s part of a much larger campaign to make sure the chosen one gets to the finale. And others don’t. Everywhere you turn, the show has changed in ways to attempt to get one specific person to the finale. Everything they are doing now, has been done before…but never all at the same time. And why? So Val stays to the end? If Val was all that big a deal, he wouldn’t need the help. Derek, the one that Val appears to obsesses over more than any fan does, never needed this sort of help. Hell, MAKS never needed this sort of help – he may not have won but one time, but he was legit popular without the pimping and over blown fawning. Derek and Maks have both had partners who couldn’t dance. Derek has WON with partners who had no training at all. In his 18 seasons on the show, they’ve tried to give him duds (tried hard, at times) but still never finished lower than 6th (twice) – most of the time cracking the top 4. With NON-dancers and dancers alike. Because he’s good and he works HARD. Read more..

May 12, 2017 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

Dancing With The Stars Season 24, Week 7 – Dancing by the Numbers!

Ya gotta look at that leader board and think they have it ranked how they would like it to go, right?  I don’t think they’re going to get their wish, and this coming week the judges scores could be quite illustrative as to what the current agenda is.

Anyway, my record isn’t great this season, but it’s been so stellar in previous seasons (pats self on back) that I keep plugging away. But it does beg the question: what is different this season?? As I’ve said in the comments, I think it’s that 2 or 3 contestants are getting such a lion’s share of the votes, that everyone else is vulnerable EVERY week. One bad score and you’re gone. Now, before you jump to the conclusion that Bonner must be getting a ton of votes, remember it’s not just who’s getting votes, but who ISN’T getting votes.  Bonner was not at the bottom last week so Nick had to cover the spead (and couldn’t) and Bonner only needed 7,500 more votes per million votes cast to beat Nancy – that is NOTHING. Chump change. David also needed very little to cover the spread between him and Nancy and he obviously did because he’s still there.

What does all this mean? Well, nothing, anymore. 🙂 It’s a new week now and they’ve kinda jury rigged the leader board to protect one person and make it hard for our dark horse – Bonner – to continue to stick around. There is no more low hanging fruit, I don’t think – he’s it.

They’ve given EVERYONE except Bonner and David nice fat cushions so they should be safe. SHOULD BE. These kinds of margins have been beaten before and this is a week that could make things interesting. I would put some money on them putting Bonner and Normani in jeopardy and then sending Bonner home – stimulates the Harmonizers for next week when she’s much more likely to need the votes and it creates lots of drama.  Anyway, I skip ahead. What are Bonner’s chances?

He needs less than 4k votes per million votes cast to stay over David. I know I say this every week, but I just don’t see that happening. David is a freshly retired Cub. They play his dances with Lindsay during rain delays…he came within 8% of Rashad on the dance off, which is quite an accomplishment.

Side note: Speaking of the dance off, did you notice that the judges never did a split decision this past week? They almost always have at least one of those…and they should have had a least one of those because they were close in dance quality in most places. Makes you wonder if they were DETERMINED to make sure that America didn’t screw up their decision…perhaps they are afraid of what might happen this week? They gotta be gun shy after losing Heather and Nancy.

Anyway…there isn’t a lot more to say. Bonner only needs about 4k more votes per million votes cast to be safe over David, and if he can’t beat David then he needs nearly 32k more votes per million votes cast to beat either Simone or Rashad – it’s not that that’s a huge spread, it’s that is Simone and Rashad. I would literally be actually shocked if Bonner were to stay over either of those two. I just don’t see it happening.  If he were to beat Normani, it would mean he got more than 47k more votes per million votes cast in order to stay.  It has happened in the past, for sure – but Bonner isn’t on the same level as Mark Warner and Normani is a bit better off than Audrina (I think…). I find this to be highly unlikely…which means Normani is probably safe, along with Simone and Rashad.

That leaves us with Bonner and David, and I think David is still raking in the votes to the point that Bonner can’t cover the spread.

But let’s say I’m wrong and that Bonner is doing much better than I think he is in votes relative to the other remaining contestants.  For Normani to be eliminated, ALL of the following things would have to happen:

  • Bonner would have to get 47,300 more votes per million votes cast than Normani, AND;
  • David would have to get 43,400 more votes per million votes cast than Normani, AND;
  • Simone AND Rashad would each have to get 15,800 more votes per million votes cast than Normani.

Now, either Simone or Rashad might be getting those votes, but I don’t think both Bonner and David are…so Normani is likely safe. What about Simone and Rashad? Well, ALL of the following would have to happen for them to be eliminated:

  • Bonner would have to get 31,500 more votes per million votes cast, AND;
  • David would have to get 27,600 more votes per million votes cast, AND;
  • Simone or Rashad would have to get ONE more voter per million votes cast over the other to be safe, AND;
  • Simone or Rashad DON’T get 15,800 more votes per million votes cast than Normani.

Those numbers tell me that Simone, Rashad and Normani are surely safe. And I believe David is safe. So, what do you all think? It seems pretty apparent to me that Bonner’s time has finally come. But, I’ve been wrong before… 🙂

May 3, 2017 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

Dancing With The Stars Season 24, Week 6 – Dancing by the Numbers!

So, before we get started on this week’s numbers, let’s have a little retrospective on Heather and what led to her demise on the show.

I keep seeing a lot of commentary on the various posts about how the show can “get rid of” whoever they want in the double elimination etc. etc. That’s not really true. They can’t change the actual votes – do you really think they would let Heather and Maks go if that were the case? Any explanation for that move would require a lot of tin foil.

What they CAN do – and do often – is manipulate the audience’s feelings about the contestants and thereby affect how people decide to vote. They are masters at that. They don’t decide to toss David off the show, or Nick. What they can do is underscore them, talk negatively about their dances, and so on. And people are SHEEP. We call them sheeple. 🙂  They believe, often, what the judges and producers put out there.

But it doesn’t always work. Enter Heather (and Audrina, Brandy and others before her). Quite a few things had to happen for Heather to leave last Monday. Courtney and I both had a gut feel she would be eliminated long before her time…but I think both of us were very surprised that it happened last week. I was thinking this week, especially in a double elimination. But nope – this past week, all of the following things happened, which caused Heather to be eliminated: Read more..

April 28, 2017 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

Dancing With The Stars Season 24, Week 5 – Dancing by the Numbers!

So this week you have to ask yourself this question: Just how solid are Bonner and Sharna??

Are they getting a ton of votes or has everyone forgotten about them? You tell me, cuz I just don’t know.  I’m leaning toward people have forgotten him. He hasn’t made much of an impact, whereas I feel like the other potentially low hanging fruit (Nick) has made more of one – for getting screwed more than anything else. 🙂  But let’s look at the numbers.

Raise your hand if you think the judges (for whatever reason) thought that Nick would be the one going home this week and accidentally gave him a higher score than what they would have if they thought he was staying.  :::raises hand::: As you know, we’ve had much discussion over the last couple years about how much the judges know about the voting – if the producers tell them. I’ve always been of the mind that they tell LEN and Len sort of guides the narrative that the producers want to sell. Whether they tell him outright or they just give him hints, who knows? Anyway, I tend to think the judges buy their own BS half the time and had convinced themselves that Nick was leaving and that Erika was awesome. They really should read this blog – we’re right a good amount of the time. 😉 Read more..

April 20, 2017 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

DWTS Season 24, Week FOUR – Dancing by the Numbers!

Yeah, still thinking Erika. 🙂

My track record isn’t so good so far though. Ah well, some seasons you got it and other seasons you don’t.

I didn’t see anything to be terribly outraged over this past Monday. Funny that our big ringers pretty much leave me cold. I don’t think it’s a coincidence that both are dancing with Chmerkovskiys. They just kinda fail to really show their partners in a positive light. Too much talking, walking and not doing the assigned style. Val is doing a better job than Alan/Maks is, but really dude – STFU and let Normani have her moment.

Anyway, let’s get to our scores. Read more..

April 13, 2017 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

DWTS Season 24, Week THREE – Dancing by the Numbers!

Thanks to Derek and Julianne Hough for their fantastic performance the other night…and for blowing up my Derek twitter search. That was a struggle to get through. 🙂 Amazing dance – I loved it.

As for the rest of the dancing, no one struck me as horrible, but at the same time, I was only really impressed by Nancy and David.  I still wonder why Nick is getting so badly hosed every week. What is the deal? I have a hard time believing they are trying to give Peta an early exit – she’s a competitor and there’s no way she wants an early exit, baby or not.  And fact is, Nick is NOT a dancer like many of the women are and he’s doing pretty darn good for someone who is a complete novice. I think he was better than Bonner by a good bit (and Peta is doing better for him than Sharna is for Bonner), yet he got the same scores from Len and Bruno as Mr. T and Charo did. In what freakin’ universe?? I love Mr. T  – but he is not the dancer that Nick is, not even close. Come on, judges. Why is the bar set so high for Nick? You’re treating him like he’s a pro not living up to expectations, instead of Joe Bachelor who’s never danced before. Read more..

April 6, 2017 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

DWTS Season 24, Week TWO – Dancing by the Numbers!

So, week 2 was…odd. Some things I understand – Rashad and Normani, Heather and Simone. But when you look at the scores, how on this planet do Nick and Charo get the same score? And how is Simone a full three points below the leaders and a point below Heather? Yeah, she had some hip hop in her routine, but so did Heather.

Anyway, there doesn’t appear to be a clear producer agenda just yet and that, combined with who danced in the last half hour really makes me wonder just who is getting the votes this season. It could make things very interesting through the rest of the season. They aren’t pushing the ringers super hard (yet) and that is…interesting. David getting the pimp spot is also interesting. Let’s take a look at the scores. Read more..

March 30, 2017 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

DWTS Season 24, Week One – Dancing by the Numbers!

Well, here I am again. Can’t say I’m overly excited about the show this season – silly fangirls, judges acting stupid, the producers using Julianne as a Heather apologist…all very annoying.

But there were a few actual bright spots. I loved David and Rashad, I thought Nick was funny and I liked that he wasn’t afraid to call a ringer BS.  Love Simone, but I’m hoping that Sasha doesn’t play it too safe in the coming weeks. I’ve seen a lot of criticism of their Tango, but I have to say…I think it was the music. That music was crap. Just ONCE this season I would love to see an actual TANGO.  Think Alexa and Derek – that kicked ASS. Hell, just about any Tango he’s ever done. He generally goes more traditional in the tango steps and music (when he has a choice) and I think the white flowery dress and the light, not-very-tango-y music of Simone and Sasha just ruins it for me. You can see the difference if you watch many of Derek’s – dark and intense. Read more..

March 24, 2017 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)