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DWTS Season 22, THE FINALE – Dancing by the Numbers WHO’S GONNA WIN??

Well, that’s somewhat surprising. At the end of the night there was a tie, but it was a tie for second, with Paige all alone at the top.  I didn’t get to see the show live, I am going on youtube and the scores with this commentary. I will likely get to watch the show before the finale-finale, but I need to write this before then.  🙂

I will just say…”the best dance ever on DWTS”??? Bullshit. Typical judge hyperbole and they say it at least once every season and it never means anything. It’s obvious when it’s actually true – very obvious. Sharna should know better than to buy into this – really, where have you been? The audience is MUCH smarter than this and this is the mistake people on this show continue to make every season. It’s ridiculous. Thanks for playing, try again.

Anyway, the scores do make me wonder if the judges really understand how the show works – and if they remembered that last weeks scores and votes count too. Do I really think they would rank it Paige – Ginger – Nyle and then give everyone a 30 on their freestyle if they knew it would result in this?

Screenshot 2016-05-23 23.36.52

 

No, I’m not sure I believe that the judges would allow Paige to be alone at the top with a four point cushion.  I think they might believe that Paige only has a one point lead and that they ranked them how they think they should finish. The crack is strong in these judges. 😉

Anyway, what this means is that if either Nyle or Ginger want to win, they have to get about 8,700 more votes per million votes cast than Paige does.

It’s really that simple. But what happens when they add points tomorrow?? I have a really hard time believing that the judges will change the rank – they RARELY change the spread or the rank after the votes have been cast. I don’t think they will do it tomorrow. I wager they will give everyone the same score – and this will reduce the margin.

How much? If everyone gets a 30 on their fusion, Ginger or Nyle will need 7,300 more votes per million votes cast to WIN over Paige.  It can certainly happen – someone can beat her.  Tony claimed that there was only three or four percent between the couples. But what does that mean? Between the couples with the combined score?? Between the couples votes? I have no idea what the context is on this. ETA in the morning: Saw a bit of the show, and Tom said after the judges scores and your votes were combined there is only a 3% difference between them. That means that it’s anyone’s game. Like it was before. 🙂

So what do I think will happen? I think that if the judges don’t tinker tomorrow, Paige will squeak out a win. If not her, then Nyle will take it. But I’m leaning towards Paige. The only thing that will really piss me off is if Ginger manages it.

But I don’t think she will…I think/hope/pray it will be Paige and Mark.

ETA:  and to show how schizophrenic I am, this morning when I woke up I was leaning toward Nyle squeaking out a win. That’s just how close it is.   Still praying for Paige though. 🙂

May 24, 2016 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

DWTS Season 22, Week 9 – Dancing by the Numbers

Since this past week won’t actually result in an elimination all on it’s own, I took my time writing this and I’m doing it on my new MacBook, so I’m learning at the same time.  🙂

Well, last Monday sucked pretty bad – the one bright spot being that Paige got through to the final which makes me very happy. Last Monday was the first week that I was mostly wrong on who was going home. Wanya was my third choice – bummed about that, but at least we lost Antonio. We still have someone in the final who really shouldn’t be there and that’s Ginger. I would say “that’s how it goes sometimes” but I won’t because the pimping has been relentless. The takeover of every single DWTS segment on GMA is one thing…but the DWTS official twitter accounts are sickening with their focus on Ginger. Have you seen their latest photo of the finalists with Ginger right out in front? It’s not even subtle any more. I don’t get it. She seems like a nice woman, sure – but she’s not all that as a dancer and Val is doing nothing for her in terms of choreography. Their motives are pretty transparent – she’s family. Read more..

May 22, 2016 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

DWTS Season 22, Week 8 – Dancing by the Numbers

It is weeks like this where I seriously consider not watching this show any more. To make matters worse, this season follows a season like the one we had with Bindi. Good lord, I’m not even sure where to start.

If I weren’t so lazy, I would go back and dig up half a dozen videos of CAI and the other bozos saying stuff like “You screwed up your footwork, but I don’t care!!” and then rewarding them with a 9 or a 10. I’m positive there’s a video out there of CAI commenting on how a dance was so entertaining she had to reward it with a high score, even though there was a slip up, or a lift, or some other issue. This is where they really pull back the curtain and you see it’s just an old dude at the controls and not some magical wizard – the manipulation is clear. Yeah, Wanya screwed up. But I would be WAY MORE okay with his scores if I wasn’t positive that worse dancing has been given higher scores when the dancer is one of the chosen.  But Wanya isn’t one of the chosen. He gets the Bethany tone of voice along with the Nastia packages. I said it back when Bethany was on the show – just watch CAI’s body language and listen to her tone of voice when she’s talking to either Bethany or Wanya. It like they committed a capital offense. It’s all designed to show or imply to the viewer that the recipient just ain’t all that and they don’t deserve your votes. Bitch please. You aren’t in a position to be that condescending – you won the night in the Team dance, but that bar was pretty low.

And that clown Antonio is worthy of ass kissing and high scores despite the fact that he’s barely rehearsed until recently and threw Sharna under a bus? Yeah, not cool.  If he’d been killing himself in rehearsal all this time, I MIGHT have a different opinion – but we know that isn’t the case. And spare me on the “he has another job” bs. Wanya has been touring this whole time and CANCELLED stuff so that he could rehearse more. Read more..

May 13, 2016 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

DWTS Season 22, Week 7 – Dancing by the Numbers

I must say, week 7 of Season 22 was exceptionally dull until about the halfway point of the night. Super dullsville until we got to (surprise, surprise) Wanya and Lindsay. Major props to Lindsay for bringing the whimsical style foxtrot to the show – I could totally see Derek choreographing that dance. I can’t give a bigger compliment. Was it perfectly executed? No – but I loved it more than one of the so-called perfect dances.

Which brings me to Val and Ginger. I LOVED that dance. I thought it was beautiful. Would I have given it a 30? Based on what I had seen up to that point on Monday night, no – probably a 28 or 29.  When comparing it to Nyle, Wanya and Paige’s dances earlier in the season, it wasn’t even close to a 30. When stacked up side by side with Paige’s dance on the same night – not even close. Paige’s dance was jam packed with content, was extremely fast, harder, and better performed. Were both dances perfect? No. Paige had a couple sync issues while Ginger’s arms got thrown away more than once. I find it a disservice to both women to give those dances the same perfect score when Paige is dancing at a much higher level. Not only that, but (as has happened in the past to Val and Maks’ partners) she will now expect high scores for less than perfect dancing and will be upset if and when it doesn’t happen.  She will be blindsided. And Val will not help her temper her expectations – we saw that with Maks many times. They buy into their own PR instead of attempting to be pragmatic or realistic. Read more..

May 5, 2016 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

Dancing with the Stars Season 22, Week 6 – Dancing by the Numbers

Well, this is going to be a tough one, folks, cuz all the low hanging fruit is gone. And double eliminations are doubly difficult. Any number of people could be on the chopping block.

Those who don’t have to worry this week are likely Nyle and Wanya.  And I guess Antonio, as much as it pains me to say so.  Everyone else? Well, this will be the week where we find out (partially) who isn’t getting the votes.  Here are the scores and percentages:

DWTS 22 Wk 6 Table 1

I’ve seen people on twitter using the typical hyperbole and they really don’t know what they’re talking about. “Ooooo…the scores are so tight it could be anyone.” Well, that’s not really true.  “We will probably get a shocking elimination.”  Yeah, that’s ONLY true if you’re a neophyte who has never seen this show before and you just came out of your cave in a loincloth. The ONLY truly shocking elimination this coming Monday would be either Wanya or Nyle.  No one else really qualifies…not even Antonio, really. I would be somewhat shocked, I guess, just because of his fanbase, but really shocked? Nah. It’s a double elimination and he’s widely been rumored to be a d*ck, so there you go.  Don’t think we’ll get that lucky though. 🙂

So why is the “It could be anyone” crowd wrong? Well, see below. Read more..

April 29, 2016 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

Dancing with the Stars Season 22, Week 5 – Dancing by the Numbers

Okay, once again Von and Antonio have exactly the same score. Am I supposed to believe this is coincidence?? And in WHAT universe is Paige a point behind Ginger?  One where Black Hole Asshattery Judging (tm Susan1) rules the day– that universe.

Oy veh. El stupidos know not what they do…or they do and they don’t care because they WANT a “shocking” elimination. They improved Jodie’s and Kim’s position – but not by enough for it to possibly matter!! And in the process they put a few more people at risk.  When just looking at the leaderboard, it looks fairly innocuous.

DWTS Season 22 wk 5 Table 1

But then you start looking at the matchups and you can see quickly where a big problem might arise. Low man on the totem pole was Doug, who has survived all the way to week 6, so clearly he has something going for him. He’s a beloved sports figure. The only problem I see is that he doesn’t seem to be having fun. People might not vote for you if you don’t seem like you really want to be there. But if they ARE voting for Doug, we could be in for a surprise come Monday night. Why? Check it: Read more..

April 22, 2016 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

Dancing with the Stars Season 22, Week 4 – Dancing by the Numbers

There is SO much I could say about the scoring this past week on DWTS – so much BS, so little time. It’s already been mostly said, no need to go over it again. Ridiculous.

Ridiculous scoring leads to problematic leader boards! I think it’s very unlikely that there will be an elimination this week, what with the switchup and all – they’ve not done one to date, I see no reason to change now, UNLESS they have succeeded in getting rid of Doug. If it’s mission accomplished, I wouldn’t be surprised to see them do one. But I am working under the assumption there won’t be one. Here are the numbers from Week 4: Read more..

April 13, 2016 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

Dancing with the Stars Season 22, Week 3 – Dancing by the Numbers

Well, we sadly all called Mischa’s elimination – it was a bit of a no-brainer when looking at the numbers.

But what now? Very tough call.

When I look at the numbers on weeks like this one and I have to wonder if it’s all planned in advance. I mean, really – the three football players tied at the bottom?? I have a hard time with “coincidences” like this. But then you look at the cast as a whole and you realize that maybe all is how it should be. Personally, I think Kim’s dance was a bit safe and probably not worthy of a 22, as much as I love her and Sasha both. I also don’t think that Jodie danced at the same level as Paige – but I get that Paige may have gotten docked for lack of content.

Marla and Ginger are also tied and I actually agree with this one. Marla has a bit of a timing problem, but Tony is actually doing a pretty good job with her. She wasn’t as soft as she was in weeks past. Ginger I just plain feel sorry for – her choreographer is NOT serving her well. Who was it that said it was contemporary by the numbers?? Yeesh. And YES, I know that Val didn’t choreograph it – but perhaps he should step away from Jenna and on to an actual contemporary choreographer. Doesn’t he know any? Is this what happens when you stick exclusively to the Fam?? Ya know, the very worst thing I can say about a couple on this show is that they’re boring – and unfortunately, Ginger ain’t the only one. Anyway, here are the scores and the percentages: Read more..

April 9, 2016 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

Dancing with the Stars Season 22, Week 2 – Dancing by the Numbers

Well. I almost feel like writing this particular blog is a waste of time this week. Why? Well…read on.

Essentially, there is a pretty insurmountable hurdle for one of our contestants, mainly because a couple others who could have sheltered her gave great performances on Monday Night. Check it out.

Table 1

Mischa is a full four points below the next two contestants (Kim and Antonio) and, unfortunately for her, those two contestants are either likeable from an iconic TV show or from a NFL team with a rabid fanbase.  She has a lot of work to do and I don’t think it’s going to happen for her.  See below. Read more..

April 1, 2016 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

DWTS Season 22, Week 1 – Dancing by the Numbers

Well, if you’ve been reading this blog for a while now, and you’re used to seeing “Dancing by the Numbers”, then you probably know what I’m going to say…

…and that is…

It seems fairly obvious (to me anyway) that either Geraldo or Mischa aren’t long for the show. Shame for both of them that they decided to do the show at a time when there are SO MANY good dancers and/or large fanbases.

Anyway, let’s take a look at the numbers so you can understand who I think is going to end up leaving. Read more..

March 24, 2016 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)