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DWTS Season 15, Week 7 – Dancing by the Numbers

As everyone knows by now, no one went home this week. But in case you want to know how the judges scores are going to affect who ultimately goes home, I thought I would run the numbers for the week. After the Week 8 dances, I’ll run the numbers again and you can compare.

Here are the Week 7 scores and percentages:

As you can see, Melissa appears to be safely at the top of the leader board. So was Sabrina. The difference this week is that there is a MUCH larger spread between the top and the bottom. Unfortunately for Melissa (and others) there are two more dance scores to be added to each celeb before anyone is eliminated, which will tighten the margins and make it easier for someone to go home.  When Sabrina went home, there was only 6.5 points between the top and the bottom. Right now there are 10 points between Kirstie and Melissa – but that is likely to change.

I think it likely that Shawn and Apolo are safe – of course we can’t be sure, but that’s what my instincts are saying. I’m also inclined to believe that Emmitt is safe. But, this is where predicting who goes home gets extremely difficult…almost impossible…to call.

Looking at the list of the celebrities that are left, I’m inclined to think that Melissa is the one in most danger when you aren’t looking at the scores and the margins. Just looking at the list, she seems (all other things being equal) like the one most likely to get the boot. But she’s at the top of the leader board. So, what would it take for her to actually leave??  ALL of the following would have to happen for Melissa to be eliminated:

–          Kirstie would have to get 45,500 more votes per million votes cast, AND;

–          Apolo would have to get 24,800 more votes per million votes cast, AND;

–          Gilles would have to get 22,800 more votes per million votes cast, AND;

–          Emmitt would have to get 18,600 more votes per million votes cast, AND;

–          Kelly would have to get 12,400 more votes per million votes cast, AND;

–          Shawn would have to get 4,200 more votes per million votes cast.

Read more..

November 8, 2012 I Written By

I'm a nerd and proud of it. Two degrees in geology also means I love BEER. :-) I'm also a Derek lover - proud of that too. So don't scream at those of us on this site and call us a bunch of "biased Derek-lovers" - it's just ME. :-) It may sound like I hate DWTS at times, but really, I'm just a snarky nitpicker from way back. And I'm cynical and jaded too. But I do love DWTS. :-)

Dancing With The Stars Co-Host Brooke Burke-Charvet Reveals She Has Thyroid Cancer

Today Dancing With The Stars co-host Brooke Burke-Charvet released a video at her Modern Mom You Tube channel to announce that she was recently diagnosed with thyroid cancer. She explains that a nodule was discovered on her thyroid and after a series of tests, it was determined to be cancerous and her thyroid will have to be removed. Below is more in detail. Let’s hope and pray she will be ok!

I Written By

"Dance is the hidden language of the soul" ~ Martha Graham. That's what DWTS makes me think of every Monday night. To read more about me and my other interests, see Lisa Kay Photography. You can also follow me at Voguerista Twitter & Voguerista Soundcloud.

Maksim Chmerkovskiy Believes He And Kirstie Alley Can Make The Finals On Dancing With The Stars

I often think Maksim Chmerkovskiy could write a book if he wanted. He writes with so much feeling and depth and this time isn’t any different as he pens his new blog for TV Guide. This time Maks writes about last weeks dances and how they went down. He also talks of Hurricane Sandy and how much the relief efforts mean to him. He can’t wait to help out more when he gets back to New York when the show is over. Also, Maks writes about his Dancing With The Stars partner Kirstie Alley. I loved this part below the most below. He talks of what Kirstie brings to the show and how she learns dancing in another way. You can tell he respects her a lot. He also thinks they can make it to the Finals and the reason behind it which I think is true and justified as what the other contestants bring to the table. I love her heart, inspiration, and how they are able to really entertain. I wouldn’t be surprised to see them make it to 4th …especially if they have the break through dance he mentions. What do you think?

A lot of people have been saying to us, “Well, she’s already done the show. She knows what to expect. How can she be so exhausted?” Yes, she’s already done it, but this season isn’t a direct replica of Season 12. None of us has any idea what the show is going to throw at us each day, let alone each week. When you don’t know what’s coming, everything’s a surprise and you get more anxious and stressed. It’s human nature. Suppose someone said, “Drop and give me pushups.” You’re going to keep going until they tell you to stop, but you don’t know when they’re going to tell you to stop. Psychologically, it’s a lot easier to be told to do 50 pushups and be done with it. Kirstie knows about the group dances, the trio, the marathon and everything, but she doesn’t have the schedule in front of her for the season. We get told each week what’s happening the next and it’s overwhelming. She’s a trooper. I want her to hold on and keep doing her thing. I think the “incidents,” as Len called them, during our fusion routine took a mental toll on her. She put a lot of effort into learning the dance and the one time she messed up her count was on show night, and it was a big blow to her. Her feeling backstage was, “What the hell is the point? I’m putting so much effort into rehearsing and I just messed it up.” I feel really bad and there’s nothing more I can ask of her. I want her to realize that there are only a couple weeks left. One thing I can promise is that she’s not giving up. She’s doing more than she should. She’s doing more than she can. The end result, whether we win or lose, will be a tribute to her resilience.

The thing that kills me the most is that I can’t help her learn to dance the way she wants to and the way you probably normally would in real life. If I were to tailor a program to her, it would be longer and more in-depth. She’s not the type of person who’s like, “Tell me the steps and I’ll do them.” She’s a cerebral person, an educated actress and woman. She knows her craft and she approaches everything the same way, including dancing. She needs time to learn. It’s not that she’s not capable of learning; it’s that she doesn’t have the time. There is no way I can tell her what she wants to learn in order for her to learn it well in four days. I’m trying to make her understand that she’s not learning just dancing. The show is basically: “Show me what you’re able to learn in four days.” If she gets it, I think it will help a lot.

I believe in Kirstie. I don’t care about the outcome. I don’t care what position we’re in right now. She’s a person that we need on the show. She brings a great contrast to the show, and I’m not talking about skill level. Everybody left is incredible. I know everyone is predicting Shawn, who continues to make our jaws drop, to win, but I don’t think it’s a slam dunk. Melissa is fantastic. I’m so happy for her and Tony winning the marathon. Apolo — wow! He is amazing and kills it every week. Kelly is just stupid good. Emmitt’s still got it and Gilles is arguably one of the best male celebrity dancers we’ve ever had. They’re all so good that sometimes you can’t even differentiate, but the show is not just about dancing, and as you saw in our package, Kirstie has realized that. She knows she belongs here. She brings something to the show — entertainment, inspiration — that cannot be scored. Even in professional dance competitions, it’s not always the winners or best dancers who are the most memorable. The paradox of taking your non-dancing friends to a dance competition is that they usually point out the dancers with the most personality who maybe finished in the quarterfinals or semifinals. If you don’t know about dancing, most people don’t care about technique or turns or extensions. They just want to be entertained. They’re looking at it from a different perspective. They don’t look at it like a dancer. I didn’t understand that for years. That’s why you had Maks speaking out about Bristol in Season 11. I know people reading this right now will be like, “He’s backpedaling.” I’m not. I am making my own discoveries about the show that I probably should’ve made a long time ago, but better late than never. Same thing with Kirstie — I believe we still have a big breakthrough in us. I believe she can make the final. Everybody is working hard, but I wouldn’t count us out.

We have two dances this week: The Viennese waltz and a trio with Tristan. I can’t wait to work with Tristan. Just having another person in the room would alleviate the pressure Kirstie. We’re good friends with Tristan and we hang out. I made a joke that we picked him because we just want him to be paid, but I was so happy that we got the first pick so we could grab him. We didn’t want to throw away the first draft pick, so to speak. Tristan’s very positive, very fun, lighthearted and he’s a very good dancer, so I’m really looking forward to the trio.

To read Maks’ full new blog, visit TV Guide.

I Written By

"Dance is the hidden language of the soul" ~ Martha Graham. That's what DWTS makes me think of every Monday night. To read more about me and my other interests, see Lisa Kay Photography. You can also follow me at Voguerista Twitter & Voguerista Soundcloud.