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PureDWTS Season 19, Week 5 – Partner Switch Predictions!

So there’s a few hours left to tweet your votes for the partner switch in week 5, but we thought we’d go ahead and try to predict who’s gonna end up with who based on the tweet counts from Topsy.  Last season, we tried using Keyhole (a much more comprehensive method of measuring the frequency of tweets), but since TPTB basically gave everyone the middle finger and did whatever they wanted with the results of the partner switch voting, we didn’t really want to spend the money to try and do that again. So Topsy will have to do for now :-) And while it would be great to be able to measure the switch voting being tweeted from the ABC website, there’s no really good way to do it – so for the sake of simplicity, we’re just going to assume that the voting from the ABC website is probably mirroring whatever the people manually tweeting are doing.

A quick explanation as to how the votes are tallied: they start with the highest vote-getting combination of any of the possible combinations, and begin pairing off down the list of vote totals until everyone has a partner (that isn’t their original partner, mind you).   So using this methodology, even if Janel’s highest vote-getting combo is with Mark, she may not actually end up with him if he has a higher vote total with another contestant.  Likewise, even if Betsey doesn’t have the highest vote-total with Artem, she may get him because his other high vote-getting combos have already been taken.  Make sense? We also tried to take into account any nicknames that the pros and/or celebs have, as both might count (i.e. Val and Valentin, Beth and Bethany, etc.).

Some random observations that we made when looking at the totals: like last year, a helluva lot more people seem to care about who the male pros end up with, than the female pros.  It’s a bit sad, actually – almost every single combination that had a male pro’s name in it had totals in the thousands, while only a handful of the combinations with female pros’ names in them even broke into the thousands.  I’m guessing the Ballas/Hough vs. Chmerkovskiy Entourage rivalry is fueling that one, and Rob Wade & Co. are laughing all the way to the bank.  Also interesting: if the partner switch voting has any sort of correlation with the actual voting done to keep couples in the competition, than Lea may have a lot more people voting for her than we originally assumed – likewise, assuming the same correlation, Janel may not have as many people voting for her as we may have originally assumed.  Food for thought. Read more..

October 6, 2014 I Written By

Ultrasound sales specialist by day, semi-knowledgeable DWTS fan by night...with a smattering of hair & makeup enthusiast, occasional model, and crazy cat lady peppered in to make things REALLY interesting ;-) I might pee my pants in happiness if Donnie Wahlberg ever does DWTS - or if they ever use "Sunglasses at Night" as a paso doble. Check out some of my other work at pureamericasgottalent.com!

New DWTS Season 19 Week 4 Las Vegas Odds: What do you think?

The odds makers at Sports Bovada have made their new predictions. It’s amazing how tight they are this season for the top seven. Have we ever had that many contestants so close like that? Note too how Tommy Chung just entered this top group as well and rightfully so in my opinion. *sigh in remembering his “Scent Of A Woman” dance. That dance is going down as one of my all time favorites! Though note how Antonio Sabato Jr. has fallen from last weeks odds. The odds makers are still putting Betsey Johnson and Michael Waltrip at the very bottom too. So, what do you think? Are the odds makers right this time? I think Bethany Mota should be in the top spot. I also think Sadie Robertson should have better odds. They should atleast have her in 4th position? Let’s see what Heidi and Courtney think. Be sure to let us know what you think too.

Janel Parrish 2/1
Bethany Mota 9/4
Alfonso Ribeiro 4/1
Lea Thompson 7/1
Sadie Robertson 10/1
Tommy Chong 12/1
Jonathan Bennett 14/1
Antonio Sabato Jr. 33/1
Betsey Johnson 66/1
Michael Waltrip 200/1

Last week’s Odds:

Alfonso Ribeiro 5/2
Lea Thompson 11/4
Janel Parrish 3/1
Bethany Mota 5/1
Sadie Robertson 7/1
Antonio Sabato Jr. 20/1
Jonathan Bennett 20/1
Randy Couture 33/1
Tommy Chong 50/1
Betsey Johnson 100/1
Michael Waltrip 200/1

Courtney: One perfect score does not a champion make, oddsmakers – I know you’re just totally sold on Janel now, but I still think Alfonso is *almost* a sure thing (provided that TPTB resist the urge to do too much tinkering, which I can’t guarantee).  I’d put money on it that he’s back at the top of the odds next week, because I have a feeling he’s going to SLAY this jazz.  And I think Sadie’s got more staying power than Lea at this point.  As for the tail end of the of odds – ehhh, I think Mike has better odds than both Betsey & Antonio, simply because he’s charming.  I think Jonathan is in the right place – I’m becoming a bit dubious about how many votes he’s getting.

Heidi: I think the top 6 is right, just in the totally wrong order. :-)  These odds makers blow with the wind (aka scores) with no concept of the votes – or in the history of this show.  I think this season still belongs to Alfonso, and I would wager that Bethany fares better than Janel – although I don’t know if she’ll be in second place.  I would bet, right now, that Lea takes 6th place, Janel 5th, Tommy 4th, Sadie and Bethany will be 2nd and 3rd – just not sure in which order – and Alfonso in the top spot.  BUT, I may change my mind depending on what they do to Alfonso this week. The man is easily the best dancer on the show, but sometimes, they try to keep the best dancers down to suit some agenda. Last season it was Charlie that was dogged so that Meryl could succeed. What I can’t see is why they need for Janel or Bethany to succeed over Alfonso – what is the motivation there??  Is it all about the kids?? Could be. And why the f@*k can’t they just score them appropriately?? I watched Janel’s dance again and it’s was lots of flash, but really not all that much substance. Why are they giving out a 40 to ANYONE in week 3, including Bethany (although they had little choice after giving Janel one), while giving the best dancer (Alfonso) and 8 point disadvantage?? So, one of two things will happen: they will either continue to pan Alfonso (at which point I change my thoughts on the final 4 rankings) or we will see a big reversal for DRAMA – that is, Bethany and Janel take a tumble, while Sadie and Alfonso rise to the top.

October 4, 2014 I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

DWTS19 Going Into Week 3 Las Vegas Odds: What do you think?

Well, the odds makers for Dancing With The Stars were definitely wrong last week at Sports Bovada. Though I think many us never guessed that Tavis Smiley would be eliminated this week. So, what does this all mean for Dancing With The Stars Season 19 Week 3? Note how Lea has moved up the ladder to second place with 11/4 odds. I’m still not really convinced on her yet and that she will make it to the final four? As tight as the odds are, I wonder why Sadie and Bethany aren’t placed higher too? I think they are better than Janel. I think I agree with how the other couples are placed and their odds. Let’s see what Heidi and Court think? You can read their comments below. Be sure to let us know what you think too in comments.

Alfonso Ribeiro 5/2
Lea Thompson 11/4
Janel Parrish 3/1
Bethany Mota 5/1
Sadie Robertson 7/1
Antonio Sabato Jr. 20/1
Jonathan Bennett 20/1
Randy Couture 33/1
Tommy Chong 50/1
Betsey Johnson 100/1
Michael Waltrip 200/1

Last week’s Odds:

Alfonso Ribeiro 3/2
Sadie Robertson 3/1
Bethany Mota 7/1
Lea Thompson 15/2
Janel Parrish 8/1
Jonathan Bennett 10/1
Randy Couture 15/1
Tavis Smiley 15/1
Antonio Sabato Jr. 25/1
Tommy Chong 33/1
Betsey Johnson 100/1
Michael Waltrip 100/1

Courtney: I’m convinced now more than ever that Janel could be a surprise snub for the finale – starting to get the same vibe from her that I got from both Elizabeth & Danica, and we saw what happened in both of those instances.  So I’m definitely not buying 3/1 odds for her to win.  Bethany & Sadie are a bit trickier – I think both are likely just as popular (if not more so than Janel), but neither one has had a really impactful, look-at-me dance yet.  From what we’ve heard, this week could be the week that Bethany finally makes a big splash (no pun intended, given their song :-P).  Apparently Sadie is looking quite good as well – Janel’s got a tougher row to hoe this week, I think, because she’s now pitted against Bethany, who is also doing jazz.  And I get the feeling Sadie fans are a bit peeved at how she was treated this past week…so it will be interesting to see who ends up in jeopardy this coming week.  As for the bottom & middle of the pack – still think Randy’s getting lowballed a bit, and I’m thinking Jonathan isn’t as good as they think – after this past week, I think he may have a bit of a liability in Allison, who is still learning the ropes of DWTS.  Not quite sure what to make of Antonio – he was more likeable this week, but I still feel like I keep forgetting him altogether.

Heidi:  It’s pretty clear, once again, that the odds makers are going mainly with the scoring, which is rather foolish.  With the exception of Alfonso, of course. I think most people see the word “winner” written on his forehead at this point. As for Janel, not only does she have the Danica/Elizabeth problem that Courtney mentioned, she also has the Cody/James problem.  That being, I don’t think the show can sustain her AND Bethany AND Sadie – and my  money is on Bethany and Sadie.  People tend to pick ONE of a certain type, so either Bethany or Sadie could be in trouble once Janel is gone (week 7 or 8 – let’s bet on that), but this season it might work out that they both make the semi-finals, at least, because the rest of the pack aren’t as competitive when it comes to dancing. At least right now. Much as people like to say otherwise, scores DO count for half and if Bethany, Sadie and Alfonso are scoring significantly higher than the rest, then they could stick around. Randy, Jonathan and Antonio are the wild cards in this situation. If their dancing improves, then one of them could send either Bethany or Sadie home after Janel. Question is, can the show sustain both Randy AND Antonio??

September 26, 2014 I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

DWTS19 Going Into Week 2 Las Vegas Odds Discussion

What an interesting shake up at Sports Bovada going into week 2 of Dancing With The Stars. Note how they gave Lolo Jones 7 to 1 odds last week….and well, we know how that turned out. So, when you take a look at the new odds for this week, do you think the odds makers have it right this time?

Alfonso Ribeiro 3/2
Sadie Robertson 3/1
Bethany Mota 7/1
Lea Thompson 15/2
Janel Parrish 8/1
Jonathan Bennett 10/1
Randy Couture 15/1
Tavis Smiley 15/1
Antonio Sabato Jr. 25/1
Tommy Chong 33/1
Betsey Johnson 100/1
Michael Waltrip 100/1

Last week’s Odds:

Alfonso Ribeiro 3/1
Janel Parrish 5/1
Antonio Sabato Jr. 6/1
Jonathan Bennett 7/1
Lolo Jones 7/1
Sadie Robertson 9/1
Bethany Mota 10/1
Tavis Smiley 12/1
Randy Couture 15/1
Lea Thompson 20/1
Betsey Johnson 33/1
Michael Waltrip 33/1
Tommy Chong 50/1

My thoughts: I think they have the odds pretty correct. Though I am not convinced on Lea yet. I think they should switch her and Randy Couture. Even though Tavis had a great showing, I thought Antonio made a better one. As for everyone else, I think they are placed about right…for now.

Let’s see what Heidi and Courtney think and be sure to let us know on your thoughts too in comments.

Heidi: Actually, unless Val picks it up (and the judges start pimping), I think Randy should be switched with *Janel*, not Lea. Lea is a dancer and a very good one, even considering her age. Her only drawback may be Artem. Artem needs to choreograph for the US audience, not the UK one.  We’ll see if he gets there. I rewatched Lea’s foxtrot again and it was beautiful. I actually think they have the top 4 right, and the number 1 right. I expect if any of them have an off week the odds will change but I doubt that will change the reality. Hard to say. The youngsters don’t always get the votes. I would not be surprised to see Sadie beat both Janel and Bethany though because the girl is goofy and charming. Bethany is too, but she’s a bit quieter, I think. But…maybe that was just week 1. Derek knows what he has to do for her to stand out.  If he gets the idea that she’s not? Look out. :-)  I think I would switch Tommy and Tavis as well.

Courtney: Hehehe…heavy is the crown, huh Janel & Antonio? Antonio’s drop in this week’s odds is particularly spectacular – here they had him as this big contender, and he…well, wasn’t.  Just like we said :-) And I wouldn’t rule him out as a possible early elim. And for all the boasting Val did on Twitter about how great his partner is (and for all the showmancing they did), Janel ended up looking just ok up against the likes of Bethany, Sadie, Alfonso, & even Randy. Those two have got a LOT of hard work ahead of them if they expect to have a fighting chance against some of the names I just mentioned. Still think Randy is better than they’re giving him credit for – he made a far bigger splash than Tavis, and yet they still have them neck-and-neck.  Michael is not a great dancer, but I think he’s got a better chance of sticking around than Betsey – people seem to be taking a liking to him.

September 19, 2014 I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

DWTS Season 19 First Las Vegas Odds: What Do You Think And Predict?

It’s that time again! The odds makers have placed their first bets (or made their predictions) for Dancing With The Stars Season 19 at Sports Bovada. Just a note before we get started. We usually like to post the Las Vegas Odds at the end of the week (Friday or Saturday) in case they change. Plus, they make fun discussion during the weekend when the news slows down. So, if you don’t see the odds posted during the week, that is why. With that said, take a look below and see if you think the first odds look correct to you. Are you surprised on some on them? Be sure to let us know in comments on your thoughts and predictions.

Alfonso Ribeiro 3/1
Janel Parrish 5/1
Antonio Sabato Jr. 6/1
Jonathan Bennett 7/1
Lolo Jones 7/1
Sadie Robertson 9/1
Bethany Mota 10/1
Tavis Smiley 12/1
Randy Couture 15/1
Lea Thompson 20/1
Betsey Johnson 33/1
Michael Waltrip 33/1
Tommy Chong 50/1

My thoughts: I kind of expected the older contestants to be Read more..

September 12, 2014 I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

Las Vegas Odds For DWTS Season 18 Week 8, Do You Agree or Disagree With Them?

Sorry for the lack of Las Vegas Odds posts this season, but, Sports Bovada and other sources haven’t been posting and/or updating them like they use to. However, Sports Bovada updated their odds for Dancing With The Stars this week. Take a look below and let us know if you think this is about right?

Meryl Davis 1/2
Amy Purdy 4/1
Charlie White 5/1
James Maslow 10/1
Danica McKellar 15/1
Candace Cameron Bure 50/1

My thoughts: The way the judges are pimping Meryl (which I think is totally wrong), the odds makers probably have it correct. I do think they have the top three correct, but, I think it should be Charlie and Amy at the top with Meryl in third (if we were to judge who has had the most clean and challenging dances, etc). For fourth, I think it’s going to be between James and Danica. These next few dances will be telling for them both as anything could happen. Even though she improved last week, one placement I totally agree with is how they have placed Candace.

Let’s see what Heidi and Court think….

Courtney: You know the pimping is bad when they have Meryl at 1/2 odds – which means that for every $2 that you bet that she will win, you’ll only get $1 back if she actually wins.  If that seems like a bad investment, it is – but because the oddsmakers think she’s such a sure thing, it’s the only way they can profit from bets made on her. :-P That’s pretty bad – especially when it seems like the judges are doing everything in their power to keep Charlie from getting within spitting distance of Meryl on the scoreboard.  Although if the outrage I saw this week after he got hosed (yet again) is actually translating to votes, now might be a good time to put some money on Charlie…because the tides could turn.  I don’t think they can get away with severely hosing him in the semifinals or finals…and the gap between he & Meryl could close quite a bit in those weeks as more couples go home.  As for the rest of the board – I’m kind of torn on Candace & Danica; Danica is the better dancer, but I get the feeling she’s not as popular with the fans…whereas Candace, the weaker dancer, seems to be connecting more.  I think James is about right sitting the middle of everything.

Heidi: I don’t recall that pimping has ever worked in the past, to any real degree. Didn’t work with William Levy, didn’t work with Chelsea Kane, didn’t work with Zendaya (although she was pimped to a lesser extent than her predecessors), didn’t work with Gilles (part deux)…I can’t remember if Melissa (part deux) or Brandy were truly pimped. I think we thought Brandy was, at the time, but then the real pimping began in later seasons. Melissa I do think was pretty well pimped the second time around, but she also had a set of other factors working in her favor, not the least of which was that she was the only non-winner in the final three of the All Star season.  So that’s 0.5 out of six??  Not good odds on Meryl.  However, if the judges don’t let up, they could have success number two on their hands. I like Meryl – I just don’t think she’s that much better than Charlie and I find him and Sharna infinitely MORE likeable.  Will he win out in the end? I would like to see that, if only to see TPTB’s plans blow up in their faces. :-)  Anyway, barring further injury to Amy, I tend to think the top three are correct, I’m just not sure it’s in that particular order. I also am not sure that James will last as long as fourth place. Yeah, he’s got fans, but Danica and Candace’s fans are right in the DWTS wheelhouse. I guess we’ll see. :-)

May 3, 2014 I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

DWTS Season 17 Las Vegas Odds Going Into The Finals, Tighter Than Tight Tight

Wow, since my time of reporting at PureDWTS, I don’t remember the odds makers putting out such tight odds for the finals of Dancing With The Stars? Also, check out how they’ve placed Bill Engvall in 3rd with 5/1 odds!! Amazing. I’m literally in shock. Not that I don’t think Bill might not get 3rd (especially after seeing how he danced during his Argentine tango), but, hasn’t Jack Osbourne proven he’s a better dancer than Bill? If I were betting, I’d put all my chips with Amber Riley and Corbin Bleu. I also still think the dark horse is Jack. Then again, maybe it’s Bill? I’m starting to get confused. 8O Anyway, good luck to them all. I really love every single one of them and wish them the best! Below is more from Sports Bovada.

Corbin Bleu 1/1
Amber Riley 5/4
Bill Engvall 5/1
Jack Osbourne 10/1

Below are last week’s odds:

Corbin Bleu 2/3
Amber Riley 8/5
Leah Remini 9/1
Jack Osbourne 12/1
Bill Engvall 25/1

Court and Heidi, what do you think?

Courtney: First off, I’m just glad that at this point, any of the couples left could walk away with the trophy and I could honestly say I’d be fine with it – and I don’t think I’ve EVER felt that way about a finale before.  There always seems to be at least one finalist per season that I really don’t want to win – but I like all the couples left.  So right of the bat – I’m just happy to have a bit of that weight off my shoulders :-) As for who’s actually going to win – I’m feeling a bit less resolute in my belief that Corbin & Amber will be the final two standing, and I think Jack could potentially play spoiler and end up either in second place or winning the whole thing.  Why? Because Jack seems to be the “alternative” choice – those who are from the “no ringers!!!” camp won’t vote for Corbin & Amber, and those from the “this is a dance show, a good dancer should win!” camp won’t vote for Bill; but as Carrie Ann mentioned in her blog, the only thing that viewers seem to universally agree on is that Jack deserves to be there. He very well may be the dark horse to win this thing – especially since I’m starting to notice more backlash against Amber & Corbin (Corbin in particular) these past few days.  As much as I love Bill, I think the judges are going to do everything in their power to ensure that he doesn’t get any better than 4th place – but then again, I think they’ve been trying to boot him out for several weeks now, and it hasn’t worked.  I think he may be able to eek out 3rd – especially if there’s a bit of a shock and Corbin is the first to get booted out of the finale.  I’m really beginning to wonder if Corbin’s not been getting a ton of votes – I think he’s a better dancer than Amber, but I also think she’s more current and likeable; I think they could potentially be splitting some votes, too, since it seems to me like those who watched High School Musical 6 years ago are probably the type to tune into Glee now.  For that reason, I’m leaning towards Amber taking the MBT – 5th MBT for Derek backlash notwithstanding, I think she’s got the votes to carry her through.

Heidi: Ah hell, I don’t know. :-) I waffle in my weaker moments to thinking Amber or Corbin will be the one shut out on Monday night, to thinking that Amber will win, to thinking Jack will win – mostly I still think it’s Corbin’s to lose…and lose he could if Derek’s “I’ve never done this before” freestyle is as awesome as Amber seems to think it is.  Karina is amazing…but Derek is in his own league any more.  Derek also is VERY Zen these days and Karina still tends to get very anxious at this time of the season when she has a contender.   Cheryl seems to be her old self and should NOT be underestimated. She can certainly craft something tailor made for Jack’s strengths. Bill is charming but has a groin pull – bad news for the finale.  But I don’t think he stands a serious chance at winning anyway.  If you go by the ratings – in addition to what happened last season – there seems to be a lot more viewers and a lot more voters for the finale. I think that’s why Kellie beat Zendaya. Going on that theory, Bill’s fans who have been with him all season may lose some power – or be overwhelmed by new voters. Johnny come latelys. :-) And Corbin or Amber – whoever kills their freestyle – could gain some power. At the end of the day, I think finale voters are going to look at Derek and not give him another MBT. Advantage Corbin. :-)

November 23, 2013 I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

DWTS17 Las Vegas Odds Going Into The Semi-Finals, Switches And Tightening

If you fall behind, run faster. Never give up, never surrender, and rise up against the odds. ~Jesse Jackson

I was wondering if we’d see some switches occur in the new odds for the upcoming Semi-Finals on Dancing With The Stars. However, I never expected to see Leah Remini placed in 3rd at 9/1 odds. :-| This is getting more and more disturbing by the week. I don’t know what to say or think anymore? :( Please I just hope and pray the right four go to the finals and that is Corbin, Amber, Jack, and Bill in my opinion. Below is more from Sports Bovada.

Corbin Bleu 2/3
Amber Riley 8/5
Leah Remini 9/1
Jack Osbourne 12/1
Bill Engvall 25/1

Below are last week’s odds:

Corbin Bleu 1/1
Amber Riley 11/10
Elizabeth Berkley 7/1
Jack Osbourne 25/1
Leah Remini 75/1
Bill Engvall 100/1

Heidi, Court, and everyone, what to you think?

Courtney: Hehehe…here we complain for several weeks about Bill being stuck at the bottom with 100:1 odds, and then he suddenly jumps to 25:1 in the semifinal week :-P I doubt he’s made THAT much of a jump, but at this point, anything could happen.  I literally could see ANY of the remaining couples making the finale, and I could see any of the remaining couples getting sent home.  I still think it’s going to ultimately come down to Corbin and someone else (most likely Amber) as the last two standing, and I guess I’m just hoping it’s not Leah that bumps Amber, Jack, or Bill out of the final two…but I continue to get the sinking feeling that Leah has been somehow guaranteed a spot in the finale, which makes me not look forward to the finale.  I think the judges are going to gun hard to send Bill home, and ensure that Corbin, Amber, & Leah make the finale; not really sure where they stand on Jack.  I know they like him better than Bill, but at the same time, I don’t think they’d be too upset about losing him if it meant keeping Leah.  Still think Corbin has the best shot of actually winning this whole thing – but if the judges continue to pick him apart and overscore Leah, I think there’s a serious chance that she of the bad attitude and the  “I’m not a dancer!” philosophy could actually win this thing…which just kinda makes me gag :-(

Heidi: I’m trying to be optimistic here. Remember last season when Zendaya was a shoe in to win, but she lost it, IMO, on the freestyle? Zendaya had been winning all season long – the twitter contests, everything. She was the pimped one, the golden one. I was certain she would win. Then Derek choreographed that amazing freestyle and it was all over. Kellie won the final twitter contest and she won the show. I think that’s the only time in the history of the show that the freestyle gave someone the edge to  win. I think a bad freestyle costs people the win all the time, but rarely the other way around. Here’s what I’m getting at: in the finale, the dancing seems to count more than it ever does in the rest of the season. I think the finale is the first time many people vote – the ratings are certainly much higher.  Sure, some great dancers have gotten beaten by dancers who were not as good, but typically, those people were still very good dancers. Donny Osmond springs to mind. He had a huge fanbase, too, and was much more likeable than Mya. While Leah has a fanbase, I doubt very much that it’s Osmond sized – and don’t forget Marie only made it to 3rd place and she certainly had a bigger fanbase than Leah.  Leah may dance better than Bill, but she’s not as likeable. And she’s certainly not capable of getting the dances down to the point they give her the win. She may make the final -there are four spots, after all – but she won’t win it. I still have faith in that. Let’s hope I’m right. As for who will actually win, I still think it comes down to Corbin and Amber with Corbin getting the win. Amber may have the bigger fanbase going in…but so did Zendaya.  The only question in my mind is: which four make it to the finale??

November 16, 2013 I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

DWTS17 Las Vegas Odds For Week 9 – Do You Agree And Who Is The “Dark Horse”?

The greater the obstacle, the more glory in overcoming it. ~Moliere

Sports Bovada has posted their new odds for Dancing With The Stars Week 9. They continue to put Bill Engvall in last place with 100/1 odds which I don’t understand. He has proven the odds makers wrong every week thus far. Overall though, I think they’ve called it pretty close with an exception to Amber who I think should be in first. Also, Leah should be in last. I agree with their final four too (dance wise). Though how I’d love it if Bill made it to the finals instead of Elizabeth. I also think our “dark horse” might be Jack Osbourne. What do you think? Take a look at the new odds and then let’s see what Heidi and Court think. Be sure to let us know what you think too in comments.

Corbin Bleu 1/1
Amber Riley 11/10
Elizabeth Berkley 7/1
Jack Osbourne 25/1
Leah Remini 75/1
Bill Engvall 100/1

Below are last week’s odds:

Corbin Bleu 6/5
Amber Riley 5/4
Elizabeth Berkley 6/1
Brant Daugherty 16/1
Jack Osbourne 16/1
Leah Rimini 66/1
Bill Engvall 100/1

Heidi: Honestly, looking at those six names it feels like a toss up to me. And I feel like anyone could go home this week, including Corbin and Amber. At the end of the day, though, I expect the odds makers are pretty close. I might switch Leah and Bill. And maybe Jack and Liz – but maybe not. Everything depends on the judges scoring this week, and I think the judges scoring might give a hint as to what they want to see in the semi-finals, OR it will be an indicator of how the votes are actually going. Beats the hell out of me. I still think Corbin is going to win, even if Amber were to get healthy – I don’t see people voting to give Derek another trophy. I think he won last season because he and Kellie kicked ass in the freestyle and because he was robbed in the All Star Season. Unless the Gleeks are a much more massive and a voting power house than I think they are, I don’t see it happening. As someone with a younger audience, she might even be in trouble this week. As to who’s going home – ask me after I see the judges scores. :-) Whether you like it or not, they do have a significant impact.

Court: Not a whole lot to add – just hope the hammer drops on Leah so we’re spared the enormous ego trip we’re bound to see from her & Tony, should they make the finale. I think the judges being more critical of her last week is a good sign. Ditto for Liz, although I could see the judges being more likely to overscore her to ensure she sticks around. I think both Jack & Bill have the potential to be dark horses – Jack in terms of skill, and Bill in terms of popularity; but the judges are going to be more likely to back Jack and try to backdoor Bill.

November 9, 2013 I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.

Dancing With The Stars 17 Las Vegas Odds Going Into Week 8 —Hmmm, Interesting!

“I like to be against the odds.” ~Barry Bonds

Have you noticed the odds makers in Las Vegas have been wrong almost every week this Season (if you base it on a ranking)? Though this isn’t really anything new either, but, last season they seemed to nail it every week despite our protests. Then again, the odds are more of an overall prediction of who will win at the end (for what Courtney and Heidi are always good at explaining. It’s confusing. I know.). So, below are Sports Bovada’s new odds going into Dancing With The Stars Season 17 Week 8!! Note how the numbers have changed compared to the week before. They also have tied Brant and Jack in fourth with 16/1 odds which I think I agree with. Though I think Elizabeth should be tied with them with the same 16/1 odds too. The biggest change though is how they changed Leah’s odds from 100/1 to now 66/1. They also insist on giving Bill 100/1 odds again as in previous weeks. Though sadly, I have to say I think Bill’s time might be running out either this week or the next. So maybe these odds are correct this time? Though how I hope (again) it’s Leah to go first.

Corbin Bleu 6/5
Amber Riley 5/4
Elizabeth Berkley 6/1
Brant Daugherty 16/1
Jack Osbourne 16/1
Leah Rimini 66/1
Bill Engvall 100/1

Below are last week’s odds:

Corbin Bleu 5/4
Amber Riley 7/5
Elizabeth Berkley 6/1
Jack Osbourne 12/1
Brant Daugherty 16/1
Snooki 16/1
Bill Engvall 100/1
Leah Rimini 100/1

Heidi, Court…take it away….

Heidi: Well, technically, as someone who doesn’t know that much about betting…they aren’t really “wrong”, per se, as these are the odds to win the show. So, if their person with the lowest odds isn’t the one eliminated, then they are only wrong if their person that is the odds on favorite to win is the one eliminated. Otherwise, they just didn’t have long enough odds on the person eliminated. Courtney knows more about this than I do, but that’s the way I understand it. We are looking at is as a ranking, which I don’t know if that’s what the odds makers intended when they place the odds.  Besides all that, I think they have it right in one respect – I think the judges will continue to do their best to ensure Bill is the next one to go. Whether they are successful or not depends heavily on the scores of the other people.  Personally, I’m not sure why they have Leah so  low, currently, since Jack hasn’t been scoring as well as Leah and seems to be fading to the background.  Why does he get 16/1 and she gets 66? I personally think she’s not been worthy of better scores than Jack, but she has been getting them and I think she’ll continue to get them as long as Bill is around…possibly leaving the door open for Jack or Brant (or Liz or even Amber) to get eliminated. So, what are they seeing with regards to Leah? Who knows? All I do know is that we will probably see a meltdown of Hope Solo proportions when the judges DO get real on Leah…if they ever do.

Courtney: You are right about the odds – they are essentially just a prediction of how likely someone is to win, as opposed to being a “ranking” of who is the next to go.  That being said – I tend to interpret it like this: the odds are how likely someone is to stay until the end of the competition – so if someone’s odds of staying until the end are low, then by extension, their odds of leaving sooner (rather than later) are probably high.  And when you interpret it that way – it does sort of feel like a prediction of who might be the most likely to be eliminated next.  So applying those thoughts to the situation at hand – I think Bill has made a strong showing these past few weeks, but he is getting rather hosed by the judges in comparison…and I don’t expect this coming week to be any different.  The question is – can his viewer votes neutralize his crummy judges’ scores? One thing that struck me as I voted this week (and please forgive this brief segue away from the topic at hand), is that each week, we get fewer votes to work with per voting method – so unless people are motivated to create more accounts each week, as the weeks wear on, it gets harder and harder to pull a low-scoring couple out of a point deficit…and I’m sure the judges/PTB relish this fact, as it makes it easier for them to oust the “undesirables”.  So while we may have done enough to keep Bill safe in previous weeks – it only gets harder each week.  And I’m beginning to think the fact that there was no elim last week probably helped Bill to some extent, because it just created a huge points dump that made the margins a lot smaller.  I hope I’m just being skeptical, but I’m preparing for the worst.  As for Leah – ack.  I can’t decide if it’s padded scores or just a lot of former fans of King of Queens or The Talk feeling nostalgic, but she has got to go – the sooner, the better.  I’m beginning to think that there’s a very real possibility that, unless the judges stop drinking the Leah Remini “Anti-Scientology Not-a-Dancer” flavored Kool-Aid, she could end up bumping somebody out of the finale…and do you really want to see a freestyle out of her? Yikes 8-O

November 2, 2013 I Written By

I'm a fashion and music fan....and I have always loved dancing too of any kind. Dancing With The Stars seems to have this way of bringing all of those things together. One of my favorite dancing quotes at the moment: "No matter what, nobody can take away the dance you've already had...." ~Gleb Savchenko . For fun music and dance mixes, visit WilUnleashed Soundcloud.