DWTS Predictions | Pure Dancing with the Stars

Dancing with the Stars Season 23, Week 3 – Dancing by the Numbers!

This was written during and after the first (HISTORIC) Presidential Debate. You’ve been warned. 🙂

I have a sniffing, loud guy in my ear, so I’m having a hard time concentrating, but how on earth is Terra two points ahead of Marilu?? This is a mystery to me. I think Marilu had a balance problem right at the beginning of her dance (she’s 64, after all), but that was a good dance. Then again, how did Laurie get a full three points more than her, lift and all?? And is that the first time Val’s ever actually been called on a lift? He’s done them before but I don’t remember him getting so nailed on it.

Anyway, I think Terra (and Laurie) did do a good job, I just don’t get the scoring two weeks in a row that insulates her. I’m afraid that once the people they want to leave, actually leave the scoring may change and that is fair to no one. It’s whiplash inducing for people who don’t know just how manipulated this show really is. Read more..

Dancing with the Stars Season 23, Week 2 – Dancing by the Numbers!

Well, seems there was a bit of protective scoring going on – were we right to be worried about Terra? In any case, she did a great dance, she was just a bit overscored.

Unfortunately for Jake, Maureen had a good, nostalgic dance and Ryan overcame his protesters (and the heart shirts a bunch of people wore will likely touch hearts as well, and Amber is still dancing with Maks. I would be STUNNED if Maks were ever the first one out. Your pro won’t win you the show, but he should prevent you from being first out. Read more..

Dancing with the Stars Season 23, Week 1 – Dancing by the Numbers!

I think I made most of my impressions pretty clear in the Live Blog for Week 1. Sometimes they change over the course of the week and upon rewatching the show, but since I was away from home for more than 10 days, including last Monday night, I haven’t had a chance to rewatch. Maybe next week.

Since there is a results show this Tuesday night, I assume that no one is eliminated until Tuesday. Is this an assumption?…runs to check the press release…okay, the press release said that the first elimination is on Tuesday night and is based on week 1 and week 2 scores and votes. Of course, this means that this calculation of the numbers is only to show the standings (and my thoughts on who would go home) of week 1 only. I’ll have to do a quick DBTN update on Monday night to see if my thoughts on who’s leaving change based on Monday’s dances. I love my sleep these days, so when there’s a results show it usually means a late night…for me and Courtney both. Anyway, look for the DBTN update at about 2 pm Eastern on Tuesday. Courtney’s power rankings typically go up after the show or first thing Tuesday morning. When there is no results show, Courtney’s power rankings will go up on Tuesday and I shoot for Thursday. SHOOT FOR…I don’t always make it. 🙂 If you missed Court’s power rankings this week, just click the link to read them…when you’re done here. 😉 Read more..

The DWTS Season 23 Partnerships – Who’s Dancing with Who?? Guesses?

As of this moment – Friday Night – we don’t have any confirmed pairings. But we do have a few good ideas based on DancingABC clues, history, rumor, twitter…and just plain guessing. 🙂 So, Vogue and I are going to put it down on paper – what we think, guesses we’ve seen on twitter, what we would like…all of the above. Just for fun. We’ll find out on Tuesday for sure, but write it down now so we can all see how we do. 😉 We reserve the right to edit as we get more information…or reality sets in through leaks and such. 😉

Here are the confirmed pros (I’m including Mark Ballas cuz I think he’s in, as does @DWTSGossip, even though we have no “confirmation”) – keep in mind there could be more. George Pennachio seems to think so. When I have a partner next to a pros name, that’s someone that’s been confirmed by DWTSGossip or a leak. If there’s a question mark, I just ain’t sure.

The Men
Derek – Marilu Henner
Maks – Amber Rose
Val – Laurie Hernandez
Gleb – ??
Sasha – Terra Jole
Artem – Maureen McCormick

The Women
Lindsay – Calvin Johnson ??
Witney – Vanilla Ice ??
Emma – Rick Perry
Sharna – James Hinchcliffe
Allison – Babyface Edmonds
Jenna – Jake Austin ??

Vogue:
Derek – I haven’t a clue but, he’s looking for his Cleopatra? Hmmmm…..
Mark – I think it might be the new rumor of Beverley Mitchell who is said to be in talks and not signed yet. I’m having serious Willow Shields flashbacks too and I’m loving it.
Maks – Amber Rose! We’ve seen a picture of them together and then there is this snap.
Val – Ok, I’m going with Lauren Henderson for all the reasons in Court’s rumor post. Plus, George P says there is more than one Olympian dancing.
Gleb– My guess is JoJo Fletcher and what a beautiful pairing this would make. I love the video in this post.
Sasha – Terra Jole! He teased his partner has a show on Wednesday’s and guess what? “Little Women” airs on Wednesday nights. I can’t wait to see how he is inspired from her and he’s happy and excited which makes me happy and excited too.
Artem – Legendary Brady Bunch star Maureen McCormick. One of my wishes forever and they even look a like. And shame on his fans for having such a meltdown on this being she’s 60. “60” is only a number. Just ask Jennifer Grey, Bill Engvall, and Tommy Chong made it or almost made it to the finals.

Lindsay – Well, it can’t be Tim Tebow like some fans speculate on since he wasn’t born in Georgia. I’m going to guess that it might be Detroit Lion Calvin Johnson since he WAS born in Georgia. Hubby will be so happy if we have another football player dancing. My Dad will be watching too in heaven. I just know it.
Witney – Not sure on this one (more below)
Emma – Is she paired with a Republican? If so, I’m hoping for someone tall, dark, and handsome…..someone like Donald Trump Jr.! Can you imagine? Ssssssssss!!
Sharna – Ryan Lochte because I think they would look striking together. Then again, Sharna says she’s in Texas, so, maybe Witney has Ryan instead? Geez, this show keeps us guessing.
Allison – Babyface Edmonds! Coupled with Allison’s creativity and his ability in making Grammy winning songs and videos, they will be off the hook as Lea posted in comments. He’s so handsome and has infinite amounts of class, swagger, and charm too.
Jenna – Jake T. Austin. I just think they’d make a great fit. What a great first partner for Jenna too. I hope she shines out there like she did on the last DWTS Tour.

Heidi:
Derek – the only guesses I’ve seen have been Lindsey Stirling and various olympians. Lindsey is going on a world tour, which kinda leaves her out. Olympians? Who knows? It would be fun if he had Mckayla Maroney…she of the “sass”. 😉 Beverley Mitchell is the type that Derek used to get all the time, early on – married mommies. But since Mark hasn’t been officially confirmed yet, maybe she’s dancing with him, since last word was that she was “in talks”. Heh…Court just texted me to listen to Becca Tilley’s snapchat to listen for Derek’s voice – she’s with Jojo Fletcher doing a shoot today. Kinda sounds like him, kinda doesn’t….I’ll get the video in a bit.
Mark – Personally, I would bet Mark is the one with the Olympian, but I don’t really know. I’m going to say Laurie Hernandez. Or Beverley Mitchell. 🙂
Maks – I kinda thought that Gleb had Amber Rose, but I guess she’s with Maks, based on that photo.
Gleb – No clue…. How about Emma Samms?
Sasha – Yeah, gotta go with Terra Jole.
Val – Well, it’s gotta be someone with dance experience…Emma Samms had training until she was 15 but that hardly counts. This is an interesting question: with Derek, Maks and Gleb all back, will Val still rate the ringer?? Hmmmm…If I had my way he would get the model who can’t move. But who would that be? I don’t think he has the Olympian..perhaps someone we don’t know about yet?
Artem – Maureen McCormick, who, judging by the photos, I wanna be when I grow up. Dang, woman! Lookin’ good!

Lindsay – Seems pretty certain she has Calvin Johnson.
Witney – Ryan Lochte…although this could be BAD. Neither are the sharpest tools in the shed if you get my meaning.
Emma – My first thought was republican…but not a weasely Trump boy. Ugh. Spare us all more of that drivel. I’m thinking someone who’s been around a while and who isn’t in prison (that was an obscure Tom Delay reference for you young’uns). 😀 But if not a republican, then what’s the deal with the Elephant? I actually looked up “Unforgettable Elephant” because DancingABC uses that word in their tweet and got Martyn Colbeck, an award winning wildlife photographer. Much more palatable than a politician. 😉 Someone else on twitter mentioned Jack Hanna to DWTSGossip which is a much more relevant celeb than Martyn.
Sharna – She’s been spotted in Texas, where the speculation brings us back to racecar driver James Hinchcliffe – why yes, there is a big race in Texas tonight and there is apparently a Arrow Electronics fire suit in the background of her periscope according to Courtney’s – I don’t even know what that is. 🙂 Could be another driver, I suppose…definitely going to say James or another racer.
Allison – seems pretty certain that she’s dancing with Babyface Edmonds
Jenna – yep, going to agree with Jake T. Austin.

PureDWTS Season 22: Court, Heidi, & Vogue’s First Impressions

So we’re still a week away from showtime, and not yet a week out from the cast announcement – and we’ve seen relatively little of the celebs rehearsing so far. But like you guys, we Angels also get first impressions of the couples that start to shape our opinions over the season – so like so many of you have shared your early assessments, we thought we’d share ours as well 🙂

Courtney:

Who Stood Out At the Cast Announcement: I’ve said it multiple times already, but Wanya & Lindsay. They were one of the few couples that seemed completely at ease with one another, and came out confident and ready to have fun. That goes farther than you might think, coming right out of the gate – especially when so many of the other couples seemed very awkward & sedate at the announcement. As for who stood out in a not-so-good way – I’d have to say Mischa. Could have just been nerves, but the impression I got from her was “I would rather be anywhere else in the world right now.” Artem came across very excited and pleasant, though, so I’m hoping he might be able to bring some of that out in her. Read more..

Who’s going to Win DWTS Season 21? New Poll and Discussion Post

Not only who’s going to win, but in what order are they going to finish?? You’ve seen the numbers going into Monday night, and you’ve seen the numerology/astrology. Now, it’s time to share who you think is going to take home the shiny disco ball.

I’m torn, as always, when it comes to picking a winner. EVERY metric that I usually use to decide who’s going to win a given season (and our record is pretty good here, I must say) is telling me that Bindi is going to win. But, by the same token, I can’t get past two things – she’s up against a Backstreet Boy and a National Guard vet/hero AND she has Derek for a partner. The latter is a problem because he’s won five times AND I have to wonder if his fans have gotten complacent. More often than not, this inner struggle I have to decide is when I’m least accurate because I tend to go with the more conservative approach (for me) and say that, despite everything telling me it’s true, that Derek’s partner won’t win. This season, I’m going to break that habit, go out on a limb, and say that Bindi is going to win this thing. Eeep. I hope I didn’t jinx it. I think Alek will be second, Nick third and Carlos fourth. I may revise this when I do the final numbers post of the season on Monday night. Read more..

PureDWTS Season 19, Week 5 – Partner Switch Predictions!

So there’s a few hours left to tweet your votes for the partner switch in week 5, but we thought we’d go ahead and try to predict who’s gonna end up with who based on the tweet counts from Topsy. Last season, we tried using Keyhole (a much more comprehensive method of measuring the frequency of tweets), but since TPTB basically gave everyone the middle finger and did whatever they wanted with the results of the partner switch voting, we didn’t really want to spend the money to try and do that again. So Topsy will have to do for now 🙂 And while it would be great to be able to measure the switch voting being tweeted from the ABC website, there’s no really good way to do it – so for the sake of simplicity, we’re just going to assume that the voting from the ABC website is probably mirroring whatever the people manually tweeting are doing.

A quick explanation as to how the votes are tallied: they start with the highest vote-getting combination of any of the possible combinations, and begin pairing off down the list of vote totals until everyone has a partner (that isn’t their original partner, mind you). So using this methodology, even if Janel’s highest vote-getting combo is with Mark, she may not actually end up with him if he has a higher vote total with another contestant. Likewise, even if Betsey doesn’t have the highest vote-total with Artem, she may get him because his other high vote-getting combos have already been taken. Make sense? We also tried to take into account any nicknames that the pros and/or celebs have, as both might count (i.e. Val and Valentin, Beth and Bethany, etc.).

Some random observations that we made when looking at the totals: like last year, a helluva lot more people seem to care about who the male pros end up with, than the female pros. It’s a bit sad, actually – almost every single combination that had a male pro’s name in it had totals in the thousands, while only a handful of the combinations with female pros’ names in them even broke into the thousands. I’m guessing the Ballas/Hough vs. Chmerkovskiy Entourage rivalry is fueling that one, and Rob Wade & Co. are laughing all the way to the bank. Also interesting: if the partner switch voting has any sort of correlation with the actual voting done to keep couples in the competition, than Lea may have a lot more people voting for her than we originally assumed – likewise, assuming the same correlation, Janel may not have as many people voting for her as we may have originally assumed. Food for thought. Read more..

Dancing with the Stars Season 16: Week 1 Score Predictions

Here you have it folks the first predicted scores of the season… You didn’t think I’d forget did ya? Well I thought I did, since I seem to have forgotten that the start of the season was today! Geez, you’d think I would have this on my calendar somewhere.

Anyway… after looking at the dances that are scheduled for the first week I realized that my typically spreadsheet data is going to be thrown into the dumpster because everything has gone astray! don’t believe me? Take a look for yourself…

I can’t even rank them! Ugh…

So I don’t know what to do… at least at the moment. I am tempted to just do the score prediction and not even bothering with how they rank because contemporary is such an outlier and out of box concept for ballroom dancers that it just doesn’t seem quite fair.

Grr grr grr…

. . .

Ah well… let’s see how this first week pans out before I really throw in the white towel… I am sure in the coming weeks something will reveal itself so I could provide the best calculations I know for you guys to enjoy.

Maybe I do have to include Season 15 afterall… gosh darn… it.

Dancing with the Stars Season 16: Pre-Season Predictions – Eliminations

Yay I’m back!… Well kind of… 😉 I apologize for the delay but I had this post completed when the initial cast announcements happened and then… life got in the way? Well I don’t really have a good idea or reason for that, but what can I do? And when I was ready to post it was a week off from the “Sean Lowe” announcement and so I just added him to the mix and completely forgot about the post again… Yes shoot me. So now you get two posts from me today… the first would be the following distribution and the second being the actual Predictions for the first week of scores.

Taking the above into account, a part of me was really considering about sitting this season out, I mean I got burned out last season when TPTB really threw a lot of curve balls to my spreadsheets and predictions that it got to the point that I just kind of threw in the towel because of the ridicuolous-ness of it all. And when I heard wind of TPTB putting contemporary and jazz into the mix… well let’s just say that I was not happy at all.

But… it’s a new season, and after the cast announcement I realize that I am familiar with at least half of the cast and as thus I probably should follow along for the ride.

So this is what I’m going to do… There are going to be two tables (since the blog space is not wide enough to do what I REALLY want to do) the first will be the rankings broken down by the following categories:
– Professional Partner
– Occupation
– Age Group

The second table will then reflect how each of the celebrities are grouped in those categories.

Now… I really had to think long and hard about this one… at the moment I decided NOT to add in the scores and data from the All-Star Season (Season 15). Why? Mainly because I consider that data to be skewed in a lot of ways. You have old partnerships, new partnerships, strange dances, all the celebrities knew what they were getting into which changes what could happen through the season… There were just way too many variables than a “normal” season for me to even consider using the data.

However, if the demand to see how the below rankings would change with the inclusion of the All Star Season, I’ll consider it…. time-permitting of course.

CELEBRITY	PROFESSIONAL	OCCUPATION	AGE GROUP	FINAL RANKING
Aly Raisman	3	2	1	1
Jacoby Jones	5	1	3	2
Kellie Pickler	1	6	3	3
Zendaya	12	4	1	4
Ingo Rademacher	4	5	7	5
Dorothy Hamill	6	2	11	6
Sean Lowe	7	9	3	7
Victor Ortiz	9	8	3	8
Wynonna Judd	8	6	7	9
D L Hughley	2	11	7	10
Andy Dick	9	11	7	11
Lisa Vanderpump	11	9	11	12

Any surprises? Confusion? Well… let’s a look at how I am grouping them this season… then I’ll explain a couple of things.
Read more..

Dancing with the Stars Season 15 – Week 9 Predictions

Oh Em Gee… Week Nine? The Semi-Finals and we have five couples left in the competition? It is interesting to know that in a week it is the finals and then we have to wait til March for the new season of Dancing with the Stars. Not a bad thing mind you but… anyway.

Since I am at a time crunch I am going to just provide the data, some tidbits that I know and let you guys draw your own conclusions:

Below is the table of the predicted scores. As to be expected we don’t really have all that information for the “chosen” dances but for my sanity let’s just focus on the dances that we do know of…

If the predictions are to be believed (and the score from approximately the same time frame in the original seasons) then the top three couples would include Shawn/Derek, Apolo/Karina and Melissa/Tony which would be just fine by me (and probably most other people).

So let’s look at how the scores worked out last week:
Read more..

M	T	W	T	F	S	S
		1	2	3	4	5
6	7	8	9	10	11	12
13	14	15	16	17	18	19
20	21	22	23	24	25	26
27	28	29	30	31

Dancing with the Stars Season 23, Week 3 – Dancing by the Numbers!

Dancing with the Stars Season 23, Week 2 – Dancing by the Numbers!

Dancing with the Stars Season 23, Week 1 – Dancing by the Numbers!

The DWTS Season 23 Partnerships – Who’s Dancing with Who?? Guesses?

PureDWTS Season 22: Court, Heidi, & Vogue’s First Impressions

Who’s going to Win DWTS Season 21? New Poll and Discussion Post

PureDWTS Season 19, Week 5 – Partner Switch Predictions!

Dancing with the Stars Season 16: Week 1 Score Predictions

Dancing with the Stars Season 16: Pre-Season Predictions – Eliminations

Dancing with the Stars Season 15 – Week 9 Predictions

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